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GCC nations, Islamic debt assets to receive billions as region diversifies from oil

GCC nations, Islamic debt assets to receive billions as region diversifies from oil

Debt markets in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have historically been unable to qualify for inclusion in emerging-market fixed income indexes or any other major fixed income index, which has resulted in lost investment in the region. But that’s all about to change. Next year, GCC countries are slated for inclusion in the prominent J.P. Morgan Emerging Market Bond Index (EMBI), marking a high water point for both the region and the larger fixed income universe. J.P. Morgan is planning to add sovereign and quasi-sovereign debt issuers from Saudi Arabia, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Kuwait to the index between January 31 and September 30, 2019. This change will bring all GCC member states into the index, which is a key performance benchmark for emerging market investors. According to J.P. Morgan’s analysis, the GCC region could represent 12 percentage points in the index by the time the new GCC countries are phased in, which means upwards of $20 billion in cash inflows into the region. This could bring total index representation from the Middle East up to 18%, putting it on the same level as emerging markets in other regions like Europe (22%) and Asia (17%). Why the

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Despite Qatar blockade, investors still bullish

Crisis could be subdued with traders fasting for Ramadan On June 5, the nation of Qatar received news that a bloc of Arab countries led by Saudi Arabia would cut air, sea, and land links with the peninsular monarchy. In Doha, worried residents emptied store shelves knowing that Qatar depends on sea routes and its land border with Saudi Arabia for nearly all its consumer goods. While the economic impact of the blockade on citizens was immediately evident, there was less clarity in financial markets. Although banking ties between Qatar and its Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) allies are in flux, the Qatari banking sector in general is well-capitalized and reportedly capable of weathering a short-term hit to its operations. The desert nation currently retains an investment grade rating, which gives it favorable borrowing costs should it need access to financing, and only six to eight percent of its total liabilities come from other GCC banks. In the longer term, however, experts warn that lack of access to GCC interbank operations could be a cause for concern. Could the blockade turn into more than a brief period of turbulence? Not likely, according to some investors. This isn’t the first time Qatar

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